Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 361.599408 411.276082 466.849661 533.918029 613.047926 703.904952 816.792585
2025-07-20 298.233141 365.551879 448.127658 558.110855 702.638827 888.755408 1150.977164
2025-07-27 256.500060 329.865292 425.421134 561.391729 753.886394 1022.938954 1439.086971
2025-08-03 221.603559 295.429793 396.053192 546.740311 772.998278 1110.934535 1675.933531
2025-08-10 196.336535 269.692278 373.552724 536.007586 792.709531 1199.318591 1928.946069
2025-08-17 183.458449 259.317724 370.735880 552.595260 854.929056 1363.227159 2344.915742
2025-08-24 168.277322 243.521669 357.444246 550.157279 884.702607 1477.011391 2698.179713
2025-08-31 154.036581 227.485790 341.661220 540.960398 900.523582 1567.611448 3028.522104
2025-09-07 144.162228 217.154393 333.586176 543.235922 936.355584 1701.255368 3484.783906
2025-09-14 132.978353 203.620589 318.755228 531.562745 943.939379 1779.999634 3840.254674
2025-09-21 124.952564 194.497374 310.322055 530.159951 970.762860 1903.065838 4339.049373
2025-09-28 114.349245 180.183005 291.616280 507.393457 951.101404 1921.432022 4575.982440
2025-10-05 111.399872 178.819072 295.782053 529.330859 1029.092409 2180.149063 5570.041944
2025-10-12 108.868072 177.964445 300.788094 553.669862 1117.020511 2485.539557 6841.583486
2025-10-19 103.730998 172.020685 295.774856 556.900560 1157.893426 2683.290108 7867.362157
2025-10-26 96.884887 162.448989 283.042902 542.391713 1154.736804 2763.965196 8530.640267
2025-11-02 91.129790 154.464874 272.679317 531.762257 1159.320539 2867.642504 9333.121812
2025-11-09 88.884170 152.839856 274.564777 548.190087 1234.318667 3194.560774 11204.171768
2025-11-16 84.803836 147.431654 268.424059 545.775664 1260.268780 3381.024664 12600.317516
2025-11-23 80.379349 141.060468 259.809275 536.667452 1266.886035 3508.665752 13813.072014
2025-11-30 77.384489 137.268877 256.194541 538.921067 1305.270271 3752.973709 15781.147331
2025-12-07 73.344317 131.157038 247.250670 527.360073 1302.660913 3856.020992 17082.934141
2025-12-14 70.485612 127.226992 242.645390 525.970726 1329.662544 4074.546635 19230.161393